OTT
3–1
BUF
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 17-17-3
3–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 18-15-2
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
18112113333
BUF
011113010134
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
OTT 17-17-3 · BUF 18-15-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
Senators beat the Sabres
Chances were even (2.8 to 3.1 expected goals); the Senators won 3–1. Anton Forsberg stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.1, on 33 and 34 shots on goal.
OTT 2.8 xG · 33 shots
BUF 3.1 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 1.5
3rd
0.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tim Stützle · 1st 00:47 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 06:51 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
· 2nd 11:45 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Tim Stützle · 3rd 18:49 · 3–1 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 46.
OTT 46%BUF 54%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tim Stützle · 1st 00:47 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 06:51 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
· 2nd 11:45 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Tim Stützle · 3rd 18:49 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/34 saves · 1 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
