Ottawa Senators
OTT · 18-19-3
0–3
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 19-14-6
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
01408016038
NSH
210012114336
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 18-19-3 · NSH 19-14-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators fell to the Predators
Chances were even (3.5 to 4.0 expected goals); the Senators lost 0–3. Juuse Saros stopped 3.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 4.0, on 38 and 36 shots on goal.
OTT 3.5 xG · 38 shots
NSH 4.0 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.6 · 1.5
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 1.8
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roman Josi · 1st 14:29 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Jeremy Lauzon · 1st 15:01 · 0–2 · wrap around shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 07:30 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 43.
OTT 43%NSH 57%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roman Josi · 1st 14:29 · GWG · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Jeremy Lauzon · 1st 15:01 · 0–2
Wrap around shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 07:30 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Nino Niederreiter, Filip Forsberg · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
38/38 saves · 0 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 3.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.