OTT
5–4
PIT
Final / OT · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 20-21-3
5–4
Final / OTW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 22-15-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
OTT
21811111011540
PIT
211131401419
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
OTT 20-21-3 · PIT 22-15-7 · First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
Senators beat the Penguins
The Senators earned it: 4.7 expected goals to 3.1, and they won it in overtime on Tkachuk's goal. The Senators scored 4 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 3.1, on 40 and 19 shots on goal.
OTT 4.7 xG · 40 shots
PIT 3.1 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
2.2 · 1.7
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
OT
0.1 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 06:36 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (61%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 07:44 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Tim Stützle · 1st 09:44 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 15:23 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
5
Mark Friedman · 2nd 03:07 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 09:19 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
7
Shane Pinto · 3rd 10:58 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 12:33 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Brady Tkachuk · OT 00:25 · 5–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 72.
OTT 72%PIT 28%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 06:36 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (61%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 07:44 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Tim Stützle · 1st 09:44 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 15:23 · PP · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
5
Mark Friedman · 2nd 03:07 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 09:19 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
7
Shane Pinto · 3rd 10:58 · PP · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 12:33 · PP · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Brady Tkachuk · OT 00:25 · GWG · 5–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
35/40 saves · 5 GA · 4.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
