OTT
1–5
WPG
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 20-23-3
1–5
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 30-16-1
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
1801305126
WPG
1928213530
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
OTT 20-23-3 · WPG 30-16-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
Senators fell to the Jets
The Senators were outchanced (3.7 to 2.5 expected goals) and lost 1–5. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.5, on 30 and 26 shots on goal.
OTT 2.5 xG · 26 shots
WPG 3.7 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 1.1
2nd
1.2 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 06:58 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Josh Norris · 1st 11:12 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 05:00 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Blake Wheeler · 2nd 13:09 · 1–3 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
5
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 16:07 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 18:17 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 32.
OTT 32%WPG 68%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 06:58 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Josh Norris · 1st 11:12 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 05:00 · GWG · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Blake Wheeler · 2nd 13:09 · 1–3
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
5
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 16:07 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 18:17 · PP · 1–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/30 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
