Ottawa Senators
OTT · 21-23-3
2–1
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 23-22-5
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
11411707238
NYI
010112014136
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 21-23-3 · NYI 23-22-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators beat the Islanders
The Senators earned it: 3.9 expected goals to 3.0, and a 2–1 win to show for it. Semyon Varlamov stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 3.0, on 38 and 36 shots on goal.
OTT 3.9 xG · 38 shots
NYI 3.0 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.5
2nd
1.4 · 1.5
3rd
1.1 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Shane Pinto · 1st 15:48 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Claude Giroux · 2nd 03:28 · 2–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Brock Nelson · 2nd 16:07 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 64.
OTT 64%NYI 36%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Shane Pinto · 1st 15:48 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Claude Giroux · 2nd 03:28 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Brock Nelson · 2nd 16:07 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
21/22 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
14/14 saves · 0 GA · 1.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.