OTT
5–0
MTL
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 23-23-3
5–0
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 20-26-4
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
010315211536
MTL
0801604028
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–0
OTT 23-23-3 · MTL 20-26-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–0
Senators beat the Canadiens
The Senators earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 3.2, and a 5–0 win to show for it. Anton Forsberg stopped 3.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 3.2, on 36 and 28 shots on goal.
OTT 3.8 xG · 36 shots
MTL 3.2 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.1
2nd
1.8 · 1.6
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 00:22 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Claude Giroux · 2nd 07:59 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Claude Giroux · 2nd 09:32 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 18:34 · 4–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Derick Brassard · 3rd 19:12 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 58.
OTT 58%MTL 42%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 00:22 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Claude Giroux · 2nd 07:59 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Claude Giroux · 2nd 09:32 · 3–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 18:34 · EN · 4–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Derick Brassard · 3rd 19:12 · 5–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/28 saves · 0 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 3.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
