OTT
3–6
EDM
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 24-24-3
3–6
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 30-18-5
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
07311011329
EDM
114212314640
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 24-24-3 · EDM 30-18-5 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Oilers
The Senators were outchanced (3.8 to 2.4 expected goals) and lost 3–6. Anton Forsberg allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.4, on 40 and 29 shots on goal.
OTT 2.4 xG · 29 shots
EDM 3.8 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.2
2nd
0.9 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 02:18 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 00:21 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Zach Hyman · 2nd 01:44 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 15:18 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Claude Giroux · 2nd 15:35 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Erik Brannstrom · 2nd 17:58 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Jesse Puljujarvi · 3rd 03:05 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Derek Ryan · 3rd 07:24 · 3–5 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 14:37 · 3–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 29.
OTT 29%EDM 71%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 02:18 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 00:21 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Zach Hyman · 2nd 01:44 · PS · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 15:18 · SH · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Claude Giroux · 2nd 15:35 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Erik Brannstrom · 2nd 17:58 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Jesse Puljujarvi · 3rd 03:05 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Derek Ryan · 3rd 07:24 · SH · 3–5
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 14:37 · PP · 3–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/37 saves · 6 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
3/3 saves · 0 GA · 0.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
