OTT
7–2
STL
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 27-24-4
7–2
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 26-27-3
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
11041727734
STL
01201129232
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 27-24-4 · STL 26-27-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators beat the Blues
The Senators earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 2.2, and a 7–2 win to show for it. Thomas Greiss allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 34 and 32 shots on goal.
OTT 3.8 xG · 34 shots
STL 2.2 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.6
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Shane Pinto · 1st 15:57 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 01:51 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Tim Stützle · 2nd 07:23 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 10:07 · 4–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Drake Batherson · 2nd 12:35 · 5–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Tim Stützle · 3rd 07:51 · 6–0 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Colton Parayko · 3rd 09:16 · 6–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Tyler Pitlick · 3rd 11:06 · 6–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Ridly Greig · 3rd 18:16 · 7–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 74.
OTT 74%STL 26%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Shane Pinto · 1st 15:57 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 01:51 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Tim Stützle · 2nd 07:23 · GWG · 3–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 10:07 · 4–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Drake Batherson · 2nd 12:35 · 5–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Tim Stützle · 3rd 07:51 · 6–0
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Colton Parayko · 3rd 09:16 · 6–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Tyler Pitlick · 3rd 11:06 · 6–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Ridly Greig · 3rd 18:16 · 7–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6–1
No penalties
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/34 saves · 7 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
