OTT
6–1
DET
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 30-26-4
6–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 28-24-8
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
4161318627
DET
150606117
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Senators lead the season series 3–1
OTT 30-26-4 · DET 28-24-8 · Meeting 4 this season — the Senators lead the season series 3–1
Senators beat the Red Wings
The Senators earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 1.6, and a 6–1 win to show for it. Ville Husso allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.6, on 27 and 17 shots on goal.
OTT 3.5 xG · 27 shots
DET 1.6 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.1 · 0.3
2nd
0.5 · 0.5
3rd
0.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dominik Kubalik · 1st 03:50 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 04:08 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
3
· 1st 07:52 · 2–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (27%)
4
· 1st 15:46 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
5
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 16:09 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Claude Giroux · 2nd 08:34 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 05:17 · 6–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 79.
OTT 79%DET 21%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dominik Kubalik · 1st 03:50 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 04:08 · PS · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
3
· 1st 07:52 · SH · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (27%)
4
· 1st 15:46 · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
5
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 16:09 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Claude Giroux · 2nd 08:34 · PP · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 05:17 · 6–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/17 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/27 saves · 6 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
