OTT
4–5
COL
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 33-31-4
4–5
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 39-22-6
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
112110214436
COL
21031406530
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
OTT 33-31-4 · COL 39-22-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
Senators fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.4 expected goals); the Senators lost 4–5. Mads Sogaard allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.4, on 36 and 30 shots on goal.
OTT 3.6 xG · 36 shots
COL 3.4 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.9
3rd
2.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cale Makar · 1st 02:35 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 05:00 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 19:33 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 04:23 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Shane Pinto · 2nd 08:20 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 15:17 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Lars Eller · 2nd 18:09 · 2–5 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Travis Hamonic · 3rd 02:52 · 3–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
9
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 13:18 · 4–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 53.
OTT 53%COL 47%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cale Makar · 1st 02:35 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 05:00 · PP · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 19:33 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 04:23 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Shane Pinto · 2nd 08:20 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 15:17 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Lars Eller · 2nd 18:09 · GWG · 2–5
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Travis Hamonic · 3rd 02:52 · 3–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
9
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 13:18 · PP · 4–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/30 saves · 5 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
