OTT
7–2
TBL
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 35-32-5
7–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 42-25-6
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
21318414735
TBL
01011514229
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 35-32-5 · TBL 42-25-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators beat the Lightning
The Senators earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.4, and a 7–2 win to show for it. Brian Elliott allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.4, on 35 and 29 shots on goal.
OTT 3.5 xG · 35 shots
TBL 2.4 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 1.3
3rd
1.1 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 08:53 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 11:37 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 10:28 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Derick Brassard · 2nd 18:04 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Mikhail Sergachev · 3rd 04:10 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Erik Brannstrom · 3rd 05:45 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 13:11 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 13:35 · 6–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
9
· 3rd 14:39 · 7–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 67.
OTT 67%TBL 33%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 08:53 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 11:37 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 10:28 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Derick Brassard · 2nd 18:04 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Mikhail Sergachev · 3rd 04:10 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Erik Brannstrom · 3rd 05:45 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 13:11 · PP · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 13:35 · EN · 6–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
9
· 3rd 14:39 · 7–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/34 saves · 6 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
