OTT
5–2
FLA
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 36-33-5
5–2
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 36-31-7
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
2819210527
FLA
05116113234
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 36-33-5 · FLA 36-31-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators beat the Panthers
The Senators were outchanced (2.8 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.9, on 34 and 27 shots on goal.
OTT 1.9 xG · 27 shots
FLA 2.8 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 09:02 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Derick Brassard · 1st 18:55 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 05:58 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 19:22 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 09:15 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Tim Stützle · 3rd 17:37 · 4–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Shane Pinto · 3rd 18:30 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 35.
OTT 35%FLA 65%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 09:02 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Derick Brassard · 1st 18:55 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 05:58 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 19:22 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 09:15 · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Tim Stützle · 3rd 17:37 · PP · 4–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Shane Pinto · 3rd 18:30 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
