OTT
5–4
PHI
Final / OT · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 37-33-5
5–4
Final / OTW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 29-32-13
1ST2ND3RDOTT
OTT
11721011712546
PHI
02133600411
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
OTT 37-33-5 · PHI 29-32-13 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
Senators beat the Flyers
The Senators earned it: 5.2 expected goals to 1.4, and they won it in overtime on DeBrincat's goal. Cam Talbot allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 5.2 expected goals to 1.4, on 46 and 11 shots on goal.
OTT 5.2 xG · 46 shots
PHI 1.4 xG · 11 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.7 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.4
3rd
1.3 · 0.5
OT
0.3 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 10:58 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Tony DeAngelo · 2nd 02:51 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Tim Stützle · 2nd 07:43 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
4
Shane Pinto · 2nd 16:50 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Claude Giroux · 3rd 02:28 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Cam York · 3rd 05:22 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Noah Cates · 3rd 09:54 · 4–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Owen Tippett · 3rd 17:21 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
9
Alex DeBrincat · OT 01:36 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 93.
OTT 93%PHI 7%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 10:58 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Tony DeAngelo · 2nd 02:51 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Tim Stützle · 2nd 07:43 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
4
Shane Pinto · 2nd 16:50 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Claude Giroux · 3rd 02:28 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Cam York · 3rd 05:22 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Noah Cates · 3rd 09:54 · PP · 4–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Owen Tippett · 3rd 17:21 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
9
Alex DeBrincat · OT 01:36 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
7/11 saves · 4 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
41/46 saves · 5 GA · 5.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
