Ottawa Senators
OTT · 37-34-5
0–3
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 45-20-10
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
01008013031
TOR
0531104320
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Senators trail the season series 1–3
OTT 37-34-5 · TOR 45-20-10 · Meeting 4 this season — the Senators trail the season series 1–3
Senators fell to the Maple Leafs
The Senators created the better chances (2.6 to 1.7 expected goals) — and lost 0–3. Ilya Samsonov stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 1.7, on 31 and 20 shots on goal.
OTT 2.6 xG · 31 shots
TOR 1.7 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.1
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Bunting · 2nd 01:23 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
William Nylander · 2nd 12:56 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Radim Zohorna · 2nd 18:09 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 66.
OTT 66%TOR 34%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Bunting · 2nd 01:23 · GWG · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
William Nylander · 2nd 12:56 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Radim Zohorna · 2nd 18:09 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
1
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
0–1
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
13/16 saves · 3 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
4/4 saves · 0 GA · 0.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.