OTT
7–4
TBL
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 38-35-7
7–4
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 45-29-6
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
28214318740
TBL
1621117424
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
OTT 38-35-7 · TBL 45-29-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
Senators beat the Lightning
The Senators earned it: 4.4 expected goals to 3.0, and a 7–4 win to show for it. Brian Elliott allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 3.0, on 40 and 24 shots on goal.
OTT 4.4 xG · 40 shots
TBL 3.0 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.5 · 0.5
2nd
1.8 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
2.2 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 00:30 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Steven Stamkos · 1st 02:51 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Julien Gauthier · 1st 10:57 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
· 2nd 06:21 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
5
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 13:38 · 3–2 · snap shot, a great chance (47%)
6
Victor Hedman · 2nd 14:06 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 19:43 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
8
Egor Sokolov · 3rd 02:07 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
9
Brayden Point · 3rd 06:01 · 5–4 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
10
Mark Kastelic · 3rd 10:49 · 6–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
11
Claude Giroux · 3rd 19:41 · 7–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 69.
OTT 69%TBL 31%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 00:30 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Steven Stamkos · 1st 02:51 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Julien Gauthier · 1st 10:57 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
· 2nd 06:21 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
5
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 13:38 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a great chance (47%)
6
Victor Hedman · 2nd 14:06 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 19:43 · PP · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
8
Egor Sokolov · 3rd 02:07 · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
9
Brayden Point · 3rd 06:01 · 5–4
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
10
Mark Kastelic · 3rd 10:49 · 6–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
11
Claude Giroux · 3rd 19:41 · EN · 7–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Erik Brannstrom, Alex DeBrincat · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/39 saves · 6 GA · 4.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
