OTT
6–1
WSH
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 3-1-0
6–1
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 1-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
26312111629
WSH
1120903124
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
OTT 3-1-0 · WSH 1-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
Senators beat the Capitals
The Senators earned it: 3.0 expected goals to 1.5, and a 6–1 win to show for it. Darcy Kuemper allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.5, on 29 and 24 shots on goal.
OTT 3.0 xG · 29 shots
WSH 1.5 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 04:28 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Josh Norris · 1st 12:29 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
John Carlson · 1st 18:54 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Josh Norris · 2nd 01:47 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Artem Zub · 2nd 04:47 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Claude Giroux · 2nd 15:47 · 5–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Jake Sanderson · 3rd 11:48 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 75.
OTT 75%WSH 25%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 04:28 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Josh Norris · 1st 12:29 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
John Carlson · 1st 18:54 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Josh Norris · 2nd 01:47 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Artem Zub · 2nd 04:47 · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Claude Giroux · 2nd 15:47 · 5–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Jake Sanderson · 3rd 11:48 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
5
Jake Sanderson, Vladimir Tarasenko · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/29 saves · 6 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
