Ottawa Senators
OTT · 3-2-0
2–5
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 4-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
11401419237
DET
1328212523
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 3-2-0 · DET 4-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Red Wings
Chances were even (3.5 to 3.1 expected goals); the Senators lost 2–5. Joonas Korpisalo allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.1, on 37 and 23 shots on goal.
OTT 3.5 xG · 37 shots
DET 3.1 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 1.2
3rd
0.9 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Sanderson · 1st 16:54 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Shayne Gostisbehere · 1st 18:15 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Joseph Veleno · 2nd 04:18 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
David Perron · 2nd 14:54 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 00:28 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Joseph Veleno · 3rd 07:23 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Ridly Greig · 3rd 08:49 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 55.
OTT 55%DET 45%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Sanderson · 1st 16:54 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Shayne Gostisbehere · 1st 18:15 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Joseph Veleno · 2nd 04:18 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
David Perron · 2nd 14:54 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 00:28 · PP · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Joseph Veleno · 3rd 07:23 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Ridly Greig · 3rd 08:49 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.