OTT
4–6
TBL
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 4-6-0
4–6
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 5-3-3
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
1709312428
TBL
11631626638
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 4-6-0 · TBL 5-3-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators fell to the Lightning
The Senators were outchanced (3.7 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost 4–6. Jonas Johansson allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.6, on 38 and 28 shots on goal.
OTT 2.6 xG · 28 shots
TBL 3.7 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.9
3rd
1.5 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 12:58 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Victor Hedman · 1st 17:05 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 00:32 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Michael Eyssimont · 2nd 04:57 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Brayden Point · 2nd 18:15 · 1–4 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
6
Claude Giroux · 3rd 01:17 · 2–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Brayden Point · 3rd 09:38 · 2–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 11:08 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 11:24 · 3–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
10
Drake Batherson · 3rd 12:14 · 4–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 32.
OTT 32%TBL 68%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 12:58 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Victor Hedman · 1st 17:05 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 00:32 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Michael Eyssimont · 2nd 04:57 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Brayden Point · 2nd 18:15 · 1–4
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
6
Claude Giroux · 3rd 01:17 · 2–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Brayden Point · 3rd 09:38 · PP · GWG · 2–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 11:08 · PP · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 11:24 · 3–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
10
Drake Batherson · 3rd 12:14 · 4–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
14/17 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
