Ottawa Senators
OTT · 6-7-0
4–1
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 4-8-2
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
112114212438
CGY
01211102125
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
OTT 6-7-0 · CGY 4-8-2 · First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
Senators beat the Flames
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.2 expected goals); the Senators won 4–1. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.2, on 38 and 25 shots on goal.
OTT 2.9 xG · 38 shots
CGY 3.2 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.7 · 1.5
2nd
1.0 · 1.3
3rd
1.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mathieu Joseph · 1st 11:21 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Drake Batherson · 2nd 03:07 · 2–0 · bat shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Blake Coleman · 2nd 15:52 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Rourke Chartier · 3rd 03:50 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Travis Hamonic · 3rd 05:12 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 45.
OTT 45%CGY 55%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mathieu Joseph · 1st 11:21 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Drake Batherson · 2nd 03:07 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Bat shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Blake Coleman · 2nd 15:52 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Rourke Chartier · 3rd 03:50 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Travis Hamonic · 3rd 05:12 · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.