Ottawa Senators
OTT · 7-7-0
5–4
Final / OTW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 8-5-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
OTT
3911001213534
DET
0144190503441
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 7-7-0 · DET 8-5-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators beat the Red Wings
The Senators earned it: 4.2 expected goals to 3.2, and they won it in overtime on Stützle's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.2, on 34 and 41 shots on goal.
OTT 4.2 xG · 34 shots
DET 3.2 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 1.2
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.3
OT
0.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 05:57 · 1–0 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 09:57 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Jake Sanderson · 1st 13:09 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Josh Norris · 2nd 01:18 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 09:39 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
David Perron · 2nd 13:20 · 4–2 · slap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 16:33 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Shayne Gostisbehere · 2nd 17:12 · 4–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Tim Stützle · OT 04:58 · 5–4 · bat shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 64.
OTT 64%DET 36%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 05:57 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 09:57 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Jake Sanderson · 1st 13:09 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Josh Norris · 2nd 01:18 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 09:39 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
David Perron · 2nd 13:20 · 4–2
Slap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 16:33 · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Shayne Gostisbehere · 2nd 17:12 · 4–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Tim Stützle · OT 04:58 · GWG · 5–4
Bat shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Mathieu Joseph, Vladimir Tarasenko · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4–0
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
37/41 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/34 saves · 5 GA · 4.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.