OTT
3–5
NYI
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 8-8-0
3–5
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 8-6-5
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
110211010331
NYI
1123915526
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
OTT 8-8-0 · NYI 8-6-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
Senators fell to the Islanders
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.7 expected goals); the Senators lost 3–5. Anton Forsberg allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 31 and 26 shots on goal.
OTT 2.6 xG · 31 shots
NYI 2.7 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.2
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 10:25 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 13:55 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
3
· 2nd 06:22 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 09:51 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Anders Lee · 2nd 09:57 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Tim Stützle · 2nd 10:56 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Drake Batherson · 2nd 11:43 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 05:18 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 48.
OTT 48%NYI 52%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 10:25 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 13:55 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
3
· 2nd 06:22 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 09:51 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Anders Lee · 2nd 09:57 · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Tim Stützle · 2nd 10:56 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Drake Batherson · 2nd 11:43 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 05:18 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
