OTT
6–2
NYR
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 10-10-0
6–2
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 18-5-1
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
210315111636
NYR
01021609235
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
OTT 10-10-0 · NYR 18-5-1 · First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
Senators beat the Rangers
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.3 expected goals); the Senators won 6–2. Igor Shesterkin allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.3, on 36 and 35 shots on goal.
OTT 3.2 xG · 36 shots
NYR 3.3 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.8
2nd
1.4 · 1.4
3rd
0.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 11:00 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Claude Giroux · 1st 18:34 · 2–0 · wrap around shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Artemi Panarin · 2nd 00:39 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 05:13 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
K'Andre Miller · 2nd 05:35 · 3–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 07:18 · 4–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
7
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 17:43 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 17:10 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 48.
OTT 48%NYR 52%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 11:00 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Claude Giroux · 1st 18:34 · 2–0
Wrap around shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Artemi Panarin · 2nd 00:39 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 05:13 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
K'Andre Miller · 2nd 05:35 · 3–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 07:18 · 4–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
7
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 17:43 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 17:10 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Jacob Bernard-Docker, Josh Norris · wrap around shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
