OTT
3–4
TOR
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 10-11-0
3–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 13-6-4
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
11608217341
TOR
082529422
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 10-11-0 · TOR 13-6-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators fell to the Maple Leafs
The Senators created the better chances (3.2 to 2.1 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Anton Forsberg allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.1, on 41 and 22 shots on goal.
OTT 3.2 xG · 41 shots
TOR 2.1 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd
1.1 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Norris · 1st 19:34 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 01:42 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
David Kampf · 2nd 17:40 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 03:35 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Jacob Bernard-Docker · 3rd 05:14 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
William Nylander · 3rd 13:03 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Claude Giroux · 3rd 18:07 · 3–4 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 69.
OTT 69%TOR 31%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Norris · 1st 19:34 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 01:42 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
David Kampf · 2nd 17:40 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 03:35 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Jacob Bernard-Docker · 3rd 05:14 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
William Nylander · 3rd 13:03 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Claude Giroux · 3rd 18:07 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
