OTT
1–4
CAR
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 11-12-0
1–4
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 15-12-1
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
11108013132
CAR
11431004428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
OTT 11-12-0 · CAR 15-12-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
Senators fell to the Hurricanes
The Senators created the better chances (3.4 to 2.8 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.8, on 32 and 28 shots on goal.
OTT 3.4 xG · 32 shots
CAR 2.8 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.2
2nd
0.6 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Norris · 1st 07:27 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Martin Necas · 1st 18:49 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 12:18 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 13:39 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 17:19 · 1–4 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 59.
OTT 59%CAR 41%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Norris · 1st 07:27 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Martin Necas · 1st 18:49 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 12:18 · PP · GWG · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 13:39 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 17:19 · 1–4
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
