OTT
5–4
PIT
Final / OT · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 12-17-0
5–4
Final / OTW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 15-13-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
OTT
2102110411526
PIT
171422300434
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–0
OTT 12-17-0 · PIT 15-13-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–0
Senators beat the Penguins
The Senators were outchanced (3.5 to 2.7 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Stützle's goal anyway. Alex Nedeljkovic allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 34 and 26 shots on goal.
OTT 2.7 xG · 26 shots
PIT 3.5 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
1.1 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 2.0
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 11:07 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Lars Eller · 1st 14:31 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Josh Norris · 1st 15:01 · 2–1 · bat shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 02:10 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 04:59 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Erik Brannstrom · 2nd 07:30 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Drew O'Connor · 3rd 01:51 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Kris Letang · 3rd 17:34 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Tim Stützle · OT 01:10 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 39.
OTT 39%PIT 61%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 11:07 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Lars Eller · 1st 14:31 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Josh Norris · 1st 15:01 · 2–1
Bat shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 02:10 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 04:59 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Erik Brannstrom · 2nd 07:30 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Drew O'Connor · 3rd 01:51 · 4–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Kris Letang · 3rd 17:34 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Tim Stützle · OT 01:10 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
