OTT
5–1
BUF
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 14-18-0
5–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 15-19-4
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
2182518531
BUF
112018016146
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 14-18-0 · BUF 15-19-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators beat the Sabres
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.6 expected goals); the Senators won 5–1. Anton Forsberg stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.6, on 31 and 46 shots on goal.
OTT 2.6 xG · 31 shots
BUF 2.6 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.8 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 06:51 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Zack MacEwen · 1st 12:38 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 19:46 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Dominik Kubalik · 2nd 07:18 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Mark Kastelic · 2nd 19:44 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Artem Zub · 3rd 15:16 · 5–1 · backhand shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 50.
OTT 50%BUF 50%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 06:51 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Zack MacEwen · 1st 12:38 · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 19:46 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Dominik Kubalik · 2nd 07:18 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Mark Kastelic · 2nd 19:44 · 4–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Artem Zub · 3rd 15:16 · EN · 5–1
Backhand shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2
Jacob Bernard-Docker, Thomas Chabot · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
45/46 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
