OTT
4–7
COL
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 15-24-0
4–7
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 29-13-3
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
115312013440
COL
111210413734
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
OTT 15-24-0 · COL 29-13-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
Senators fell to the Avalanche
The Senators let a 4–2 lead get away: the Avalanche came back with five unanswered goals — Wood's equalizer — and won 4–7. Mads Sogaard allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.7, on 40 and 34 shots on goal.
OTT 4.4 xG · 40 shots
COL 2.7 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.5 · 0.8
2nd
1.8 · 1.1
3rd
1.1 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 09:29 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 10:07 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Ridly Greig · 2nd 01:21 · 2–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (79%)
4
Jason Polin · 2nd 02:27 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Ridly Greig · 2nd 07:21 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 11:04 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:18 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Miles Wood · 3rd 04:04 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Sam Malinski · 3rd 08:14 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
10
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 12:24 · 4–6 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
11
Devon Toews · 3rd 15:16 · 4–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 74.
OTT 74%COL 26%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 09:29 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 10:07 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Ridly Greig · 2nd 01:21 · 2–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (79%)
4
Jason Polin · 2nd 02:27 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Ridly Greig · 2nd 07:21 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 11:04 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:18 · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Miles Wood · 3rd 04:04 · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Sam Malinski · 3rd 08:14 · PP · GWG · 4–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
10
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 12:24 · 4–6
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
11
Devon Toews · 3rd 15:16 · EN · 4–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/33 saves · 6 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 4.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
