OTT
6–2
MTL
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 16-24-0
6–2
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 19-19-7
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
21721327637
MTL
1601116223
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
OTT 16-24-0 · MTL 19-19-7 · First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
Senators beat the Canadiens
The Senators earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.2, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Cayden Primeau allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.2, on 37 and 23 shots on goal.
OTT 3.5 xG · 37 shots
MTL 2.2 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd
1.1 · 0.6
3rd
1.0 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 08:40 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 11:07 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Cole Caufield · 1st 13:25 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Rourke Chartier · 2nd 09:51 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 18:54 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 01:41 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Parker Kelly · 3rd 12:26 · 6–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
8
· 3rd 15:16 · 6–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 70.
OTT 70%MTL 30%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 08:40 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 11:07 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Cole Caufield · 1st 13:25 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Rourke Chartier · 2nd 09:51 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 18:54 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 01:41 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Parker Kelly · 3rd 12:26 · EN · 6–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
8
· 3rd 15:16 · 6–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/36 saves · 5 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
