Ottawa Senators
OTT · 16-24-1
1–2
Final / OTL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 30-10-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
OTT
0701611101135
WPG
041901214229
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 16-24-1 · WPG 30-10-4 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Jets
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.4 expected goals); the Senators lost it in overtime on Ehlers's goal. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.4, on 35 and 29 shots on goal.
OTT 2.5 xG · 35 shots
WPG 2.4 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 0.4
2nd
1.3 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
OT
0.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mason Appleton · 2nd 14:35 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Parker Kelly · 3rd 04:43 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Nikolaj Ehlers · OT 04:14 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 52.
OTT 52%WPG 48%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mason Appleton · 2nd 14:35 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Parker Kelly · 3rd 04:43 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Nikolaj Ehlers · OT 04:14 · GWG · 1–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
3
Neal Pionk, Vladislav Namestnikov · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–2
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/35 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.