OTT
4–3
NSH
Final / OT · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 19-25-2
4–3
Final / OTW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 26-22-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
OTT
0731301411435
NSH
3110110600328
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
OTT 19-25-2 · NSH 26-22-2 · First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
Senators beat the Predators
Down 0–3 in the 1st period, the Senators erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Tkachuk's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Giroux's goal. Mads Sogaard allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.2, on 35 and 28 shots on goal.
OTT 3.4 xG · 35 shots
NSH 2.2 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
1.1 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.5
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael McCarron · 1st 08:26 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Philip Tomasino · 1st 16:30 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Yakov Trenin · 1st 19:00 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Drake Batherson · 2nd 05:21 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Tim Stützle · 2nd 09:20 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 17:10 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Claude Giroux · OT 03:36 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 69.
OTT 69%NSH 31%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael McCarron · 1st 08:26 · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Philip Tomasino · 1st 16:30 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Yakov Trenin · 1st 19:00 · 0–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Drake Batherson · 2nd 05:21 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Tim Stützle · 2nd 09:20 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 17:10 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Claude Giroux · OT 03:36 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
17/17 saves · 0 GA · 1.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
8/11 saves · 3 GA · 0.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
