OTT
5–3
TOR
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 21-25-2
5–3
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 26-16-8
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
110310112532
TOR
18112115335
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Senators lead the season series 3–1
OTT 21-25-2 · TOR 26-16-8 · Meeting 4 this season — the Senators lead the season series 3–1
Senators beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (4.2 to 4.0 expected goals); the Senators won 5–3. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.2 expected goals to 4.0, on 32 and 35 shots on goal.
OTT 4.2 xG · 32 shots
TOR 4.0 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 1.1
3rd
1.2 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 03:45 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Claude Giroux · 1st 17:53 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
3
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 02:04 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Matthew Knies · 2nd 09:43 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Shane Pinto · 2nd 11:13 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Josh Norris · 2nd 15:13 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Max Domi · 3rd 05:12 · 4–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
8
Ridly Greig · 3rd 19:54 · 5–3 · slap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 53.
OTT 53%TOR 47%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 03:45 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Claude Giroux · 1st 17:53 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
3
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 02:04 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Matthew Knies · 2nd 09:43 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Shane Pinto · 2nd 11:13 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Josh Norris · 2nd 15:13 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Max Domi · 3rd 05:12 · 4–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
8
Ridly Greig · 3rd 19:54 · EN · 5–3
Slap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 4.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
