Ottawa Senators
OTT · 22-25-2
6–3
FinalW
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 16-26-10
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
31029111630
CBJ
16217017340
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 22-25-2 · CBJ 16-26-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators beat the Blue Jackets
The Senators were outchanced (4.4 to 3.7 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Anton Forsberg stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blue Jackets created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 3.7, on 40 and 30 shots on goal.
OTT 3.7 xG · 30 shots
CBJ 4.4 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.4 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.9 · 2.0
3rd
1.4 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dmitri Voronkov · 1st 07:11 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 09:48 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 10:36 · 2–1 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
4
Claude Giroux · 1st 14:46 · 3–1 · snap shot off the rush, a good chance (17%)
5
Ridly Greig · 2nd 05:37 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Boone Jenner · 2nd 10:41 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 13:54 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 16:48 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Erik Brannstrom · 3rd 19:52 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 41.
OTT 41%CBJ 59%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dmitri Voronkov · 1st 07:11 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 09:48 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 10:36 · 2–1
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
4
Claude Giroux · 1st 14:46 · SH · 3–1
Snap shot off the rush, a good chance (17%)
5
Ridly Greig · 2nd 05:37 · GWG · 4–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Boone Jenner · 2nd 10:41 · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 13:54 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 16:48 · PP · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Erik Brannstrom · 3rd 19:52 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 4.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.