Ottawa Senators
OTT · 22-26-2
1–5
FinalL
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 19-32-2
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
0807119134
ANA
172429520
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 22-26-2 · ANA 19-32-2 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Ducks
The Senators created the better chances (3.3 to 1.9 expected goals) — and lost 1–5. Joonas Korpisalo allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.9, on 34 and 20 shots on goal.
OTT 3.3 xG · 34 shots
ANA 1.9 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.4
2nd
1.2 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pavel Mintyukov · 1st 09:19 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
2
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 17:25 · 0–2 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mason McTavish · 2nd 18:59 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Mason McTavish · 3rd 02:18 · 0–4 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Claude Giroux · 3rd 04:43 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Cam Fowler · 3rd 09:23 · 1–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 72.
OTT 72%ANA 28%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pavel Mintyukov · 1st 09:19 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
2
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 17:25 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mason McTavish · 2nd 18:59 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Mason McTavish · 3rd 02:18 · 0–4
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Claude Giroux · 3rd 04:43 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Cam Fowler · 3rd 09:23 · PP · 1–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/20 saves · 5 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/19 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.