OTT
4–1
DAL
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 24-27-3
4–1
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 34-16-8
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
1831309430
DAL
160405115
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 24-27-3 · DAL 34-16-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators beat the Stars
The Senators earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 1.6, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.6, on 30 and 15 shots on goal.
OTT 3.1 xG · 30 shots
DAL 1.6 xG · 15 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.0
2nd
1.2 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
1.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Norris · 1st 04:12 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Joe Pavelski · 1st 19:50 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
3
Josh Norris · 2nd 05:37 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 08:56 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Shane Pinto · 2nd 19:43 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 76.
OTT 76%DAL 24%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Norris · 1st 04:12 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Joe Pavelski · 1st 19:50 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
3
Josh Norris · 2nd 05:37 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 08:56 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Shane Pinto · 2nd 19:43 · PP · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
14/15 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/19 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
