OTT
2–7
CAR
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 28-34-4
2–7
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 42-20-6
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
17114011232
CAR
11329416738
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–3
OTT 28-34-4 · CAR 42-20-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–3
Senators fell to the Hurricanes
The Senators were outchanced (3.9 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost 2–7. Anton Forsberg allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.6, on 38 and 32 shots on goal.
OTT 2.6 xG · 32 shots
CAR 3.9 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.8
3rd
0.9 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dmitry Orlov · 1st 07:19 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Thomas Chabot · 1st 13:50 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 02:03 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tim Stützle · 2nd 04:51 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 19:38 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
6
Jalen Chatfield · 3rd 04:41 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Dmitry Orlov · 3rd 07:14 · 2–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 08:52 · 2–6 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Brendan Lemieux · 3rd 13:07 · 2–7 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 30.
OTT 30%CAR 70%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dmitry Orlov · 1st 07:19 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Thomas Chabot · 1st 13:50 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 02:03 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tim Stützle · 2nd 04:51 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 19:38 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
6
Jalen Chatfield · 3rd 04:41 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Dmitry Orlov · 3rd 07:14 · 2–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 08:52 · 2–6
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Brendan Lemieux · 3rd 13:07 · 2–7
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Andrei Svechnikov, Evgeny Kuznetsov · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2–5
No penalties
Goaltending
31/38 saves · 7 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
