OTT
2–5
STL
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 28-36-4
2–5
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 37-30-3
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
012113114239
STL
2719211527
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
OTT 28-36-4 · STL 37-30-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
Senators fell to the Blues
The Senators created the better chances (4.6 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Joel Hofer stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.5, on 39 and 27 shots on goal.
OTT 4.6 xG · 39 shots
STL 2.5 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.5 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.6
3rd
1.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Saad · 1st 11:54 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Colton Parayko · 1st 14:57 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Mark Kastelic · 2nd 04:34 · 1–2 · snap shot off the rush, a great chance (34%)
4
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 13:11 · 1–3 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Dominik Kubalik · 3rd 01:58 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 05:43 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 18:32 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 79.
OTT 79%STL 21%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Saad · 1st 11:54 · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Colton Parayko · 1st 14:57 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Mark Kastelic · 2nd 04:34 · 1–2
Snap shot off the rush, a great chance (34%)
4
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 13:11 · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Dominik Kubalik · 3rd 01:58 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 05:43 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 18:32 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/39 saves · 2 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
