Ottawa Senators
OTT · 30-36-4
5–3
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 42-23-4
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
152724516
EDM
11321805336
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 30-36-4 · EDM 42-23-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators beat the Oilers
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Senators erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Batherson's equalizer — and won 5–3. Calvin Pickard allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.6, on 36 and 16 shots on goal.
OTT 1.6 xG · 16 shots
EDM 3.9 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.6
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
3rd
0.1 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Henrique · 1st 03:49 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 05:37 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 01:38 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Zach Hyman · 2nd 03:34 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Tim Stützle · 2nd 04:48 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 16:30 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Jakob Chychrun · 3rd 16:57 · 4–3 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Parker Kelly · 3rd 19:22 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 16.
OTT 16%EDM 84%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Henrique · 1st 03:49 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 05:37 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 01:38 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Zach Hyman · 2nd 03:34 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Tim Stützle · 2nd 04:48 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 16:30 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Jakob Chychrun · 3rd 16:57 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Parker Kelly · 3rd 19:22 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
11/15 saves · 4 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.