Ottawa Senators
OTT · 32-36-4
2–0
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 21-47-5
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
21601107234
CHI
070606019
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 32-36-4 · CHI 21-47-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators beat the Blackhawks
The Senators earned it: 2.5 expected goals to 1.7, and a 2–0 win to show for it. Anton Forsberg stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.7, on 34 and 19 shots on goal.
OTT 2.5 xG · 34 shots
CHI 1.7 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 0.5
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Claude Giroux · 1st 00:36 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Parker Kelly · 1st 06:08 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 65.
OTT 65%CHI 35%
Goals and penalties
2 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Claude Giroux · 1st 00:36 · SH · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Parker Kelly · 1st 06:08 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
19/19 saves · 0 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.