Ottawa Senators
OTT · 33-38-4
0–6
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 48-24-5
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
01406010030
FLA
21331117631
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–3
OTT 33-38-4 · FLA 48-24-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–3
Senators fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.7 expected goals); the Senators lost 0–6. Joonas Korpisalo allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.7, on 30 and 31 shots on goal.
OTT 2.8 xG · 30 shots
FLA 2.7 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
2.1 · 0.9
2nd
0.4 · 1.0
3rd
0.3 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Cousins · 1st 01:02 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Dmitry Kulikov · 1st 01:37 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Anton Lundell · 2nd 02:35 · 0–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 04:19 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 17:56 · 0–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 03:54 · 0–6 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 52.
OTT 52%FLA 48%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Cousins · 1st 01:02 · GWG · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Dmitry Kulikov · 1st 01:37 · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Anton Lundell · 2nd 02:35 · 0–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 04:19 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 17:56 · 0–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 03:54 · PP · 0–6
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
5
Aleksander Barkov, Vladimir Tarasenko · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–5
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
13/17 saves · 4 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
12/14 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.