OTT
3–4
NJD
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 33-39-4
3–4
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 37-36-4
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
0815215328
NJD
31011007427
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators trail the season series 1–2
OTT 33-39-4 · NJD 37-36-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators trail the season series 1–2
Senators fell to the Devils
The Senators were outchanced (3.1 to 2.5 expected goals) and lost 3–4. Anton Forsberg allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.5, on 27 and 28 shots on goal.
OTT 2.5 xG · 28 shots
NJD 3.1 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd
0.4 · 1.0
3rd
1.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Erik Haula · 1st 03:50 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Ondrej Palat · 1st 12:36 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Brendan Smith · 1st 16:34 · 0–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 00:33 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Nico Hischier · 2nd 11:04 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Claude Giroux · 3rd 03:37 · 2–4 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 14:17 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 40.
OTT 40%NJD 60%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Erik Haula · 1st 03:50 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Ondrej Palat · 1st 12:36 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Brendan Smith · 1st 16:34 · 0–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 00:33 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Nico Hischier · 2nd 11:04 · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Claude Giroux · 3rd 03:37 · PP · 2–4
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 14:17 · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/18 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
6/9 saves · 3 GA · 1.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
