Ottawa Senators
OTT · 36-40-4
5–4
Final / SOW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 30-36-14
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
OTT
19112220031544
MTL
192717020425
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 3–0
OTT 36-40-4 · MTL 30-36-14 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 3–0
Senators beat the Canadiens
The Senators earned it: 4.8 expected goals to 3.2, and they won it in a shootout. The Senators owned the 3rd period, 1.8 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 3.2, on 44 and 25 shots on goal.
OTT 4.8 xG · 44 shots
MTL 3.2 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 1.3
2nd
1.4 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.3
OT
0.5 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mike Matheson · 1st 09:11 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 13:08 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
3
Cole Caufield · 2nd 01:37 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
4
Shane Pinto · 2nd 08:36 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Cole Caufield · 2nd 13:05 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 00:47 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Alex Newhook · 3rd 15:49 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 18:55 · 4–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 71.
OTT 71%MTL 29%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mike Matheson · 1st 09:11 · SH · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 13:08 · PP · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
3
Cole Caufield · 2nd 01:37 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
4
Shane Pinto · 2nd 08:36 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Cole Caufield · 2nd 13:05 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 00:47 · PP · 3–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Alex Newhook · 3rd 15:49 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 18:55 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
8
Drake Batherson, Jake Sanderson · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4–4
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Senators
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
40/44 saves · 4 GA · 4.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.