Ottawa Senators
OTT · 1-0-0
3–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 1-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
2170519331
FLA
0818016132
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
OTT 1-0-0 · FLA 1-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
Senators beat the Panthers
The Senators were outchanced (2.5 to 1.7 expected goals) but won 3–1 anyway. Linus Ullmark stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.7, on 32 and 31 shots on goal.
OTT 1.7 xG · 31 shots
FLA 2.5 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
0.2 · 0.6
3rd
0.4 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tim Stützle · 1st 05:52 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Shane Pinto · 1st 10:42 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 15:48 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Tim Stützle · 3rd 18:50 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 36.
OTT 36%FLA 64%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tim Stützle · 1st 05:52 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Shane Pinto · 1st 10:42 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 15:48 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Tim Stützle · 3rd 18:50 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.