Ottawa Senators
OTT · 2-2-0
1–3
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 5-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
09010112131
NJD
09214112335
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 2-2-0 · NJD 5-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Devils
The Senators were outchanced (3.1 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost 1–3. Jacob Markstrom stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.2, on 35 and 31 shots on goal.
OTT 2.2 xG · 31 shots
NJD 3.1 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.4
3rd
0.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Erik Haula · 2nd 02:39 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nathan Bastian · 2nd 06:26 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Paul Cotter · 3rd 12:39 · 0–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 18:55 · 1–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 35.
OTT 35%NJD 65%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Erik Haula · 2nd 02:39 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nathan Bastian · 2nd 06:26 · SH · GWG · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Paul Cotter · 3rd 12:39 · 0–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 18:55 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 1–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.