OTT
5–4
TBL
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 3-2-0
5–4
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 3-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
2821317528
TBL
06312111429
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
OTT 3-2-0 · TBL 3-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
Senators beat the Lightning
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.2 expected goals); the Senators won 5–4. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.2, on 28 and 29 shots on goal.
OTT 2.4 xG · 28 shots
TBL 2.2 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
0.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 01:50 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Josh Norris · 1st 13:21 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 01:59 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Nick Paul · 2nd 10:39 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Drake Batherson · 2nd 13:20 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 18:13 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 18:56 · 4–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
8
· 3rd 06:17 · 5–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
9
Mitchell Chaffee · 3rd 08:11 · 5–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 53.
OTT 53%TBL 47%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 01:50 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Josh Norris · 1st 13:21 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 01:59 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Nick Paul · 2nd 10:39 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Drake Batherson · 2nd 13:20 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 18:13 · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 18:56 · PP · 4–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
8
· 3rd 06:17 · SH · GWG · 5–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
9
Mitchell Chaffee · 3rd 08:11 · 5–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
5
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
