Ottawa Senators
OTT · 5-4-0
8–1
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 5-5-0
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
31631029835
STL
0806113127
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
OTT 5-4-0 · STL 5-5-0 · First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
Senators beat the Blues
The Senators earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 1.9, and a 8–1 win to show for it. Joel Hofer allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.9, on 35 and 27 shots on goal.
OTT 2.8 xG · 35 shots
STL 1.9 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.4
2nd
1.0 · 0.3
3rd
0.7 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Norris · 1st 01:04 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
2
· 1st 04:44 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Tim Stützle · 1st 15:04 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 08:55 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 11:08 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Adam Gaudette · 2nd 11:50 · 6–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Tim Stützle · 3rd 07:31 · 7–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Dylan Holloway · 3rd 09:04 · 7–1 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Adam Gaudette · 3rd 15:27 · 8–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 66.
OTT 66%STL 34%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Norris · 1st 01:04 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
2
· 1st 04:44 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Tim Stützle · 1st 15:04 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 08:55 · PP · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 11:08 · PP · 5–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Adam Gaudette · 2nd 11:50 · 6–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Tim Stützle · 3rd 07:31 · 7–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Dylan Holloway · 3rd 09:04 · PP · 7–1
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Adam Gaudette · 3rd 15:27 · 8–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
16/21 saves · 5 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.