OTT
4–3
CGY
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 9-11-1
4–3
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 12-7-3
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
11129110430
CGY
1911216327
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
OTT 9-11-1 · CGY 12-7-3 · First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
Senators beat the Flames
The Senators earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 1.7, and a 4–3 win to show for it. Anton Forsberg allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.7, on 30 and 27 shots on goal.
OTT 3.3 xG · 30 shots
CGY 1.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd
0.8 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 14:32 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Adam Gaudette · 1st 17:05 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Drake Batherson · 2nd 03:18 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Cole Reinhardt · 2nd 13:17 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 15:27 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 01:14 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 19:21 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 76.
OTT 76%CGY 24%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 14:32 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Adam Gaudette · 1st 17:05 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Drake Batherson · 2nd 03:18 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Cole Reinhardt · 2nd 13:17 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 15:27 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 01:14 · PP · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 19:21 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
5
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
