OTT
3–1
NSH
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 12-12-2
3–1
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 7-15-6
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
01121118330
NSH
08012117137
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
OTT 12-12-2 · NSH 7-15-6 · First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
Senators beat the Predators
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.5 expected goals); the Senators won 3–1. Linus Ullmark stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.5, on 30 and 37 shots on goal.
OTT 2.8 xG · 30 shots
NSH 2.5 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.8
2nd
1.2 · 0.7
3rd
1.0 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jacob Bernard-Docker · 2nd 05:07 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Claude Giroux · 2nd 16:52 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Nick Cousins · 3rd 12:37 · 3–0 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Fedor Svechkov · 3rd 18:03 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 55.
OTT 55%NSH 45%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jacob Bernard-Docker · 2nd 05:07 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Claude Giroux · 2nd 16:52 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Nick Cousins · 3rd 12:37 · 3–0
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Fedor Svechkov · 3rd 18:03 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
4
Mark Jankowski, Zachary L'Heureux · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3–1
No penalties
Goaltending
36/37 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
