Ottawa Senators
OTT · 12-13-2
2–4
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 11-11-7
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
11217012231
NYI
250523413
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
OTT 12-13-2 · NYI 11-11-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
Senators fell to the Islanders
The Senators created the better chances (2.7 to 1.5 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Anton Forsberg allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.5, on 31 and 13 shots on goal.
OTT 2.7 xG · 31 shots
NYI 1.5 xG · 13 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
1.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Gaudette · 1st 05:37 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Anders Lee · 1st 12:27 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
3
Kyle MacLean · 1st 14:48 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Josh Norris · 2nd 00:37 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 13:46 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Bo Horvat · 3rd 19:09 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 72.
OTT 72%NYI 28%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Gaudette · 1st 05:37 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Anders Lee · 1st 12:27 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
3
Kyle MacLean · 1st 14:48 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Josh Norris · 2nd 00:37 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 13:46 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Bo Horvat · 3rd 19:09 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
9/12 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.