Ottawa Senators
OTT · 19-18-3
0–4
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 16-21-5
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
01306016035
BUF
2621005421
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
OTT 19-18-3 · BUF 16-21-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
Senators fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.5 expected goals); the Senators lost 0–4. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.5, on 35 and 21 shots on goal.
OTT 2.6 xG · 35 shots
BUF 2.5 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.1 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd
0.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Quinn · 1st 10:17 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jack Quinn · 1st 13:17 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 04:11 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 10:22 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 52.
OTT 52%BUF 48%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Quinn · 1st 10:17 · GWG · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jack Quinn · 1st 13:17 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 04:11 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 10:22 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
35/35 saves · 0 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.