OTT
2–1
TOR
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 25-20-4
2–1
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 30-18-2
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
1120516223
TOR
16012011129
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–0
OTT 25-20-4 · TOR 30-18-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–0
Senators beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.1 expected goals); the Senators won 2–1. Anton Forsberg stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.1, on 23 and 29 shots on goal.
OTT 2.4 xG · 23 shots
TOR 2.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
2nd
0.4 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bobby McMann · 1st 03:46 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 10:43 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Shane Pinto · 3rd 10:47 · 2–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 55.
OTT 55%TOR 45%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bobby McMann · 1st 03:46 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 10:43 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Shane Pinto · 3rd 10:47 · GWG · 2–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
